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Posts Tagged ‘Brexit’


Don’t overlook currency management in a multi-asset portfolio

Don’t overlook currency management in a multi-asset portfolio

As the summer holiday season approaches, Van Luu explains why the euro looks attractive for multi-asset portfolios in the long-term.   Don’t overlook currency management in a multi-asset portfolio: Spotlight on the Euro   As the holiday season approaches and people set off to catch some summer sun (Greece, Italy, Spain anyone?) it seems as

July 20, 2017 Categories: Currency, Implementation, Investment Strategy
Life in a low return world: every basis point counts

Life in a low-return world: Every basis point counts

Last time I explained the benefits and variable scenarios of currency hedging – both static and dynamic. As we saw, the opportunities available in currencies can often be overlooked within an investor’s core multi-asset strategy. We think there are four strategies that can be employed to manage risks and make the most of the return

Jul 12, 2017 Categories: Currency, Implementation, Investment Strategy
One week after the UK Election: Scenarios for sterling and Brexit

One week after the UK Election: Scenarios for sterling and Brexit

Theresa May has pushed forward with EU negotiations despite it being widely expected that she will not last a full term in office The pound could fall even lower in the short-term, but we think that the downside is contained A ‘softer’ Brexit may be positive for sterling In the event that Britain leaves the

UK Elections - Brexit

UK Election: A hung parliament

The lack of a Conservative majority realises a hung parliament. The impact of this on Brexit is hard to predict Markets are likely to move into ‘risk-off’ mode seeing a decline in sterling, UK equites and gilts Investors should prepare for increased market volatility as we expect a chaotic and difficult time for Westminster Russell

Brexit

Brexit heats up: 4 things to watch

With the outcome of last year’s Brexit vote paving the way for the UK to leave the European Union (EU), British Prime Minister May began the formal divorce proceedings last month. And now, she has surprisingly called for a snap election, earlier than expected, on 8 June. In the meantime, I keep hearing from investors,

Apr 26, 2017 Categories: Market Updates, Markets

What if the experts were right to put Trump’s and Brexit’s chances at 30%?

It’s the quiet week before Christmas, so I’m taking the opportunity to briefly set investment, pensions and charitable trusts aside and sneak in a post that touches on some of my favourite subjects: probabilities, forecasting and uncertainty. Specifically: what are the right – and wrong – lessons about forecasting from Donald Trump’s victory and the

Dec 21, 2016 Categories: Market Updates

Brexit is so passé, what’s the next unexpected event?

After the initial shock of Brexit, the overall impact has been more favourable than feared. Survey data on consumer products and producer confidence as well as the housing sector have partly rebounded after steep initial drops. Financial markets too have recovered quickly and riskier assets have not been overly penalised. Indeed, Brexiteers can already be

Oct 4, 2016 Categories: Markets

Brexit – risks and opportunities for your portfolio

Brexit was a big shock to many investors. There’s been a ‘sledgehammer’ response from the Bank of England. So what can you learn from the risks and opportunities around Brexit? The Bank of England cut interest rates for the first time in over seven years by 0.25bp from a previous record low of 0.5pc. A

Aug 15, 2016 Categories: Investment, Investment Strategy, Markets

The cost of currency: Finding potential opportunity in risk

Exchange rates are buffeted by political decisions and can seem utterly unpredictable, as recent events illustrate (see below). Pension funds and other asset owners are exposed to exchange rate fluctuations through their international portfolio holdings. Many of them see currency risk as an unwelcome by-product of international diversification, and they may try to reduce or

Aug 4, 2016 Categories: Market Updates

Q3 market outlook: Too long, too short or just right?

One of the dilemmas that we have when we produce our quarterly market outlook is the length. Do we produce a two-page summary document with just the soundbites? Or the full document with all the details? Like Goldilocks in Robert Southey’s children’s story, I prefer something in-between. In his video summary, Paul Eitelman, one of

Jul 12, 2016 Categories: Markets

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