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Archive for the ‘Markets’ Category


Brexit

Brexit heats up: 4 things to watch

With the outcome of last year’s Brexit vote paving the way for the UK to leave the European Union (EU), British Prime Minister May began the formal divorce proceedings last month. And now, she has surprisingly called for a snap election, earlier than expected, on 8 June. In the meantime, I keep hearing from investors,

Apr 26, 2017 Categories: Market Updates, Markets
Wire-blog-geopolitical-risk

When should we care about geopolitical risk?

Between Trump, Brexit, and the coming French elections, there’s been a great deal of focus on geopolitical risks and their possible impacts on markets and investors. So how do we deal with geopolitical risk? We believe the answer lies in taking a close look at Cycle, Value and Sentiment. The power of Cycle, Value and

Global markets forecast: Is the rally based on fake news?

Our team of strategists continually assesses economic data and quantitative modelling when researching what we expect for global markets in the coming quarter and beyond. Let me recap our topline insights from the latest Global Market Outlook – Q2 Update: Undue pessimism about global growth has given way to excessive optimism. Equity markets are overbought

Mar 30, 2017 Categories: Markets
Brexit

The Fed throwing caution to the wind? Not so fast.

The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) hiked interest rates again today, raising the target range by a quarter point to 0.75-1.0%. We and, it seems, markets were fully expecting this move, particularly after Fed leaders provided very strong guidance last week that a March hike was in the pipeline.  The bigger issue for investors now

Mar 15, 2017 Categories: Investment, Markets

Quarterly Fixed Income Survey: bound in a narrow range

After an 80 basis point jump in US Treasury yields following the US presidential election, fixed income money managers have adjusted to the new environment. Across rates, spreads and major currencies, our second Global Fixed Income Survey1 shows managers’ forecasts are mostly clustered in a narrow range. The tightest consensus of all is for 2-3

Feb 24, 2017 Categories: Investment, Investment Strategy, Markets

Bulk Annuities – 2017 NOT the year of the buy-out?

A couple of articles on the bulk annuity market caught my eye this week and reminded me of a great blog post authored by my Seattle based colleague, Bob Collie back in October, “What about the 98% of plans NOT doing annuity buyouts?”. Wednesday’s Financial Times contained an article* predicting a big recovery in the

Jan 6, 2017 Categories: Investment, Markets

U.S. elections 2016: Trump wins White House. Markets react with a selloff.

U.S. voters wanted change. They got it. Unless there is a recount surprise, as of now, it appears likely we will have Donald Trump as the next American president. In September, we wrote about the erosion of the middle class, especially in key rust belt states. Even with the aggregate economic gains during Obama’s presidency,

Nov 9, 2016 Categories: Investment, Markets

Emerging Markets (EM) Equities – where in the world do global managers get their exposure?

Recently, an increasing number of global equity managers have started to manage against an All-World benchmark (including EM) rather than a Developed benchmark (ex-EM). For busy investors with limited time and resources, it might look like a quick win to have their global equity manager cover EM too. But not so fast! EM merits some

Nov 7, 2016 Categories: Investment, Markets

American politics: Markets still depend on fundamentals

American politics: Markets still depend on fundamentals Hillary or Trump? Before we get too hung up on how one U.S. President or another might impact markets, let’s keep in mind that, in the US, the impact the executive branch can have is intentionally limited. Wise investors continue to focus on what always impacts investments: market

Oct 11, 2016 Categories: Markets

Brexit is so passé, what’s the next unexpected event?

After the initial shock of Brexit, the overall impact has been more favourable than feared. Survey data on consumer products and producer confidence as well as the housing sector have partly rebounded after steep initial drops. Financial markets too have recovered quickly and riskier assets have not been overly penalised. Indeed, Brexiteers can already be

Oct 4, 2016 Categories: Markets

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