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2017 Global Market Outlook Q4

It’s time for the final installment of our 2017 global market outlook: our forecast for the fourth quarter of the year. See our strategists’ views on global investment markets and economies. This quarter, they’ve looked specifically at momentum versus asymmetry.     A supportive environment   Since our Q3 update, equity markets have drifted higher,

October 3, 2017 Categories: Investment, Market Updates, Markets
Page Title Unconstrained Bonds – taste the secret sauce

Unconstrained Bonds – taste the secret sauce

Unconstrained fixed income has become a popular strategy. By choosing investments that are free from benchmark constraints and that allow the managers wide-ranging discretion, investors aim to achieve consistent positive performance irrespective of a potential turn in the interest rate cycle. But in a world of low prospective returns, a successful unconstrained bond strategy needs

May 31, 2017 Categories: Investment, Investment Strategy, Markets

The economic outlook according to stocks and bonds: will it be rosy or will it be bleak?

With buoyant equity markets on the one hand and cautious bond markets on the other, Russell Investments’ strategist Van Luu analyses which asset class is right, if any. Asset class divergence We have reached a point where equity and bond markets are diverging significantly. Global equity markets trade close to all-time highs while bond markets

Is the stock-bond correlation positive or negative?

Is the stock-bond correlation positive or negative?

Some periods of history might point to the conclusion that the correlation between the returns on stocks and bonds is positive, others that it is negative. These variations can be a signal of fundamental change in the broader market environment. Phase transitions The behaviour of investment markets is not fixed. There are periods, for example,

May 18, 2017 Categories: Markets
Global Fixed Income Survey

Fixed Income Survey Results: Spotlight on Local EMD, Rates & Credit Spreads

Last October we initiated a quarterly global fixed income survey using responses from leading bond and currency managers highlighted by our research process. This quarter’s survey included 165 responses from managers with specialisms ranging across Global Rates, Global Investment Grade Credit, Global Leveraged Credit, Securitised, US Municipal Bonds, Active Currency, and Emerging Markets (EM) including

May 12, 2017 Categories: Investment, Investment Strategy, Markets
French Election

Macron wins French Presidential election

In line with the polls, Emmanuel Macron cruised to an easy victory in the second round of the French presidential election, taking 66% of the vote. Macron’s party, En Marche! is also doing well in the polls for the June parliamentary elections1. Which may mean that Macron’s power to implement reforms could be bigger than

May 8, 2017 Categories: Market Updates, Markets

Emerging Markets: Finding value through specialists and dynamic management

Are you giving emerging markets the attention they deserve? We believe emerging markets deserve at least as much time and effort as developed market allocations. The longer-term growth projection (in GDP, population and consumption) shows that by 2025, emerging markets may represent over 45% of global consumption.1 Many multi-asset portfolios could benefit from this kind

May 4, 2017 Categories: Market Updates, Markets
Brexit

Brexit heats up: 4 things to watch

With the outcome of last year’s Brexit vote paving the way for the UK to leave the European Union (EU), British Prime Minister May began the formal divorce proceedings last month. And now, she has surprisingly called for a snap election, earlier than expected, on 8 June. In the meantime, I keep hearing from investors,

Apr 26, 2017 Categories: Market Updates, Markets
Wire-blog-geopolitical-risk

When should we care about geopolitical risk?

Between Trump, Brexit, and the coming French elections, there’s been a great deal of focus on geopolitical risks and their possible impacts on markets and investors. So how do we deal with geopolitical risk? We believe the answer lies in taking a close look at Cycle, Value and Sentiment. The power of Cycle, Value and

Global markets forecast: Is the rally based on fake news?

Our team of strategists continually assesses economic data and quantitative modelling when researching what we expect for global markets in the coming quarter and beyond. Let me recap our topline insights from the latest Global Market Outlook – Q2 Update: Undue pessimism about global growth has given way to excessive optimism. Equity markets are overbought

Mar 30, 2017 Categories: Markets

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